Market Edge® Daily Market Update
Thursday, September 18, 2025
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Market Recap (9/18/2025)
 
IndexCloseDay Chg Day % ChgYTD % Chg
DJIA 46142.42 124.10 0.27 8.46
DJ TRAN 15642.24 139.97 0.90 -1.59
DJ UTIL 1085.45 -0.50 -0.05 10.45
NASDAQ 22470.73 209.40 0.94 16.36
NYSE 21504.35 64.45 0.30 12.61
AMEX 6993.99 3.39 0.05 49.24
S&P 100 3303.67 10.84 0.33 14.30
S&P 500 6631.96 31.61 0.48 12.76
RUS 2000 2467.70 60.36 2.51 10.65
10 YR BOND 4.10 0.03 0.69 -10.26
 
Can't Fight the Fed
 
Investors piled into equities today following the Fed's 0.25-point rate cut the prior day. Dovish comments from Fed Chair Powell fed hopes of at least one more rate cut this year with some calling for two. Economic data was better than expected with Initial Jobless Claims falling 32k to 231k, while Continuing Claims eased 7k remaining above 1.9 million. The Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index jumped to 23.2, its highest mark since January. Stocks rallied at the opening bell and the DJIA, S&P 500, NASDAQ, NASDAQ 100, Russell 2000 and Philadelphia Semiconductor Index all posted new all-time highs. The different sectors were mostly higher led by strength in Technology (XLK) and Industrial (XLI), while Consumer Staples (XLP), Consumer Discretionary (XLY) and Energy (XLE) were lower. Despite the rate cut, yields ticked higher on the jobs number and a report that last week's jump in initial jobless claims was due to fraudulent cases in Texas. The rate on the 10-year Treasury closed at 4.123%. Giving a boost to tech and semiconductor names was a +22.77% spike in shares of Intel (INTC) on a $5 billion investment by Nvidia (NVDA), which jumped +3.54%. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index advanced +3.60%. CrowdStrike (CRWD) was another big winner gaining +12.82% after announcing new AI products. The DJIA ended the day with a gain of 124.10 points (+0.27%) and settled at 46142.42, while the S&P 500 added 31.61 points (+0.48%) finishing at 6631.96. the tech heavy NASDAQ jumped 209.40 points (+0.94%) closing at 22470.73. The small cap Russell 2000 tacked on +2.51% for its first new high since November 2024.
 
Breadth was positive with advancing issues beating advancing issues 1.8:1 on the NYSE and 2.5:1 on the NASDAQ. Volume was above average with advancing volume 65% on the NYSE and 74% of the NASDAQ. The VIX eased 0.02 (-0.13%) and closed at 15.70. Crude oil prices slipped 0.37 (-0.58%) and the October contract closed at $63.68 a barrel. Gold prices lost 39.80 (-1.07%) and finished at $3678.00 an ounce. Bitcoin (BTC) closed the session at $117,500.
 
While the major averages struggled to finish mixed yesterday, investors jumped back in today on hopes of additional rate cuts sending the different indexes to record highs. The small caps outperformed, but don't count out the big cap tech and Mag 7. They were sharply higher as the allure of what AI brings to the table continues to see stocks such as Alphabet (GOOGL), Meta Platforms (META), Nvidia (NVDA) and others at or approaching new highs.
 
Earnings releases to watch for on Friday include: None.
 
Friday's Market Moving Economic Calendar: Baker Hughes Rig Count.
 
By David L. Blake, CMT
 
 
Significant Numbers To Watch
 
DJIA
43340-Support - The 08/01/2025 low
46137-Resistance - The 09/11/2025 high
44924-50-day simple moving average
43204-200-day simple moving average
 
S&P 500
6212-Support - The 08/01/2025 low
6600-Resistance - The 09/12/2025 high
6414-50-day simple moving average
5997-200-day simple moving average
 
NASDAQ
20560-Support - The 08/01/2025 low
22182-Resistance - The 09/12/2025 high
21381-50-day simple moving average
19488-200-day simple moving average
 
Trade Trigger Stocks (9/18/2025)
 
Trade Trigger Stocks are stocks which are breaking through significant resistance (bullish) or support (bearish) areas. The 'Entry Price' is the level that needs to be penetrated to qualify as either a buy or short sale breakout. Below is a selection of the 14 Trade Trigger stocks for today.
 
Buy Candidates
NAME SYMBOL YRHIGH YRLOW CLOSE ENTRY
PRICE
HIMAX TECHNOLOGIES ADS HIMX 13.91 5.12 8.78 8.80
CITI TRENDS CTRN 39.37 16.18 33.95 33.99
LM ERICSSON ADR ERIC 8.99 6.64 8.07 8.11
Oportun Financial Corporation OPRT 9.24 2.40 7.09 7.14
CARMAX GROUP KMX 91.25 54.53 60.00 60.09
MARCUS CORP MCS 23.16 14.13 16.10 16.19
Northern Oil and Gas Inc. NOG 44.31 19.88 26.26 26.40
 
Short Sale Candidates
NAME SYMBOL YRHIGH YRLOW CLOSE ENTRY
PRICE
Saratoga Investment Corp SAR 26.49 21.10 24.89 24.68
Sportradar Group AG SRAD 32.22 11.56 29.47 29.25
Carlyle Secured Lending Inc. CGBD 18.64 13.12 13.49 13.26
Cion Investment Corp CION 12.71 8.51 10.12 9.89
Velocity Financial Inc. VEL 20.98 16.12 18.44 18.11
Limoneira Co LMNR 29.22 14.40 15.37 14.87
WERNER ENTERPRISES WERN 42.48 23.02 27.52 27.02
 
Market At-A-Glance Charts (9/18/2025)
 
DJ Industrials
Close:46142.42
Change: 124.10
% Change: 0.27
Open: 46056.55
High: 46317.52
Low: 45954.73
NASDAQ Composite
Close:22470.73
Change: 209.40
% Change: 0.94
Open: 22439.11
High: 22540.93
Low: 22358.49
S&P 500
Close:6631.96
Change: 31.61
% Change: 0.48
Open: 6626.85
High: 6656.80
Low: 6611.89
Russell 2000
Close:2467.70
Change: 60.36
% Change: 2.51
Open: 2420.59
High: 2470.08
Low: 2420.59
DJ Transport
Close:15642.24
Change: 139.97
% Change: 0.90
Open: 15568.69
High: 15721.95
Low: 15550.88
DJ Utilities
Close:1085.45
Change: -0.50
% Change: -0.05
Open: 1081.17
High: 1091.85
Low: 1078.20
NYSE Adv/Dec
Close: 563676
NASDAQ Adv/Dec
Close: -398341
NYSE New Hi New Lo
New High: 148
New Low: 30
NASDAQ New Hi New Lo
New High: 437
New Low: 61
CBOE Index P/C Ratio (SMA5)
( > 1.70 Bullish, < 1.00 Bearish)
Close: 1.2
CBOE Mkt Volatility
( > 30 Bullish)
Close:15.70
Change: -0.02
% Change: -0.13
Open: 14.93
High: 15.80
Low: 14.33
Weekly Bull % Advisor
( < 40 Bullish, > 55 Bearish)
Current % Bullish: 54.7
Weekly Bear % Advisor
( < 21 Bearish, > 50 Bullish)
Close: 17.0
 
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